Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tim Stützle
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Stützle 52.6% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 53.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 83.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Pageau
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Pageau
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
52.7% (501)
+6.7%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
54.2% (59)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
56.3% (32)
+3.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Stützle is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Pageau
Stützle
Home
58.4% (430)
51.9% (285)
Away
61.0% (559)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Pageau
Stützle
P1
55.4%
51.6%
P2
61.8%
55.4%
P3
61.5%
52.2%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |