Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tim Stützle
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Stützle 53.4% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 51.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 82.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Pageau
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Pageau
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
53.4% (412)
+5.8%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
56.1% (41)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (163)
61.5% (26)
-0.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Pageau is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Pageau shoots right. Stützle is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Pageau
Stützle
Home
59.5% (299)
52.0% (244)
Away
60.4% (389)
56.2% (235)
By Period
Pageau
Stützle
P1
55.3%
52.4%
P2
62.2%
55.9%
P3
61.1%
53.8%
OT
80.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
62.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Stützle
46.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |