Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Trent Frederic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Frederic 54.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 63.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 58.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 51.9%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Pageau
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pageau
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Pageau
Frederic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
57.6% (151)
+1.8%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
66.7% (3)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Frederic is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Pageau
Frederic
Home
58.4% (430)
55.6% (81)
Away
61.0% (559)
60.3% (73)
By Period
Pageau
Frederic
P1
55.4%
57.7%
P2
61.8%
54.3%
P3
61.5%
60.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |