Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Trocheck 56.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 67.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 50.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 57.1%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Pageau
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Pageau
Trocheck
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
4
Pageau
Trocheck
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
58.0% (666)
+1.4%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
64.8% (165)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
43.4% (152)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Pageau shoots right. Trocheck is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Pageau
Trocheck
Home
58.4% (430)
55.3% (436)
Away
61.0% (559)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Pageau
Trocheck
P1
55.4%
56.4%
P2
61.8%
58.7%
P3
61.5%
55.5%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
63.1%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |