Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Karlsson 54.7% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 63.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 56.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 55.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Pageau
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
58.5% (135)
+0.9%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
80.0% (5)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
44.4% (18)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Pageau
Karlsson
Home
58.4% (430)
63.7% (91)
Away
61.0% (559)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Pageau
Karlsson
P1
55.4%
54.4%
P2
61.8%
66.7%
P3
61.5%
51.9%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%