Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Girgensons 45.4% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 80.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 86.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Pageau
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Pageau
Girgensons
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
4
5
Pageau
Girgensons
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
3
Pageau
Girgensons
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
1
Pageau
Girgensons
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
45.5% (2,718)
+10.3%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
49.1% (175)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
42.2% (483)
+7.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Girgensons is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,298).
Home / Away
Pageau
Girgensons
Home
56.3% (6,267)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Pageau
Girgensons
P1
54.7%
45.8%
P2
56.3%
44.1%
P3
53.5%
45.7%
OT
54.4%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |