Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +26.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Boqvist shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Boqvist 38.8% (+26.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 65.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 91.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 84.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Carter
Boqvist
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carter
Boqvist
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Boqvist
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Boqvist
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
33.7% (196)
+26.0%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
0.0% (1)
+68.1%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
0.0% (2)
+53.2%
On power play, Carter has a +68.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boqvist shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Boqvist is 27.7% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Carter
Boqvist
Home
58.7% (455)
36.6% (82)
Away
60.0% (483)
30.8% (117)
By Period
Carter
Boqvist
P1
61.3%
31.1%
P2
57.1%
30.8%
P3
59.8%
38.3%
Final 5 min
60.2%
20.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Boqvist
30.0%▼
39.5%
33.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |