Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 20 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Eller 50.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 34-29 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 54.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Carter
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
34
(63 meetings)
29
34
Carter
Eller
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
9
10
Carter
Eller
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
8
12
Carter
Eller
20 total
Neutral Zone
Even
12
12
Carter
Eller
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.1% (10,321)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
52.8% (621)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
46.6% (1,759)
-0.3%
On power play, Carter has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Home / Away
Carter
Eller
Home
54.7% (5,752)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Carter
Eller
P1
53.6%
51.2%
P2
52.8%
50.1%
P3
53.1%
50.2%
OT
56.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |