Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Savard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Savard 50.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 57.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 64.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 60.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Carter
Savard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Carter
Savard
Last 5: Carter 3-2 Savard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Savard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Savard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Savard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Savard
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
49.8% (253)
+3.5%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
54.4% (68)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
33.3% (3)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Savard shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Savard is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Carter
Savard
Home
54.7% (5,752)
54.1% (172)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
47.4% (156)
By Period
Carter
Savard
P1
53.6%
57.7%
P2
52.8%
48.8%
P3
53.1%
46.2%
OT
56.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Savard
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Marc Savard |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Marc Savard |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |