Who wins more faceoffs, Jeff Carter or Michael McCarron?

Michael McCarron leads the head-to-head 7-5 across 12 faceoffs.

What is Jeff Carter's faceoff record against Michael McCarron?

Jeff Carter is 5-7 against Michael McCarron in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 3-2, Defensive 0-3, Neutral 2-2.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Jeff Carter or Michael McCarron?

Jeff Carter is the predicted winner with a 52.3% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Jeff Carter vs Michael McCarron

Jeff CarterR vs Michael McCarronR

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.7%). Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Carter 53.2% vs McCarron 52.6% (+0.5%)

H2H factor McCarron leads 7-5 in 12 meetings

Offensive zone Carter 74.1%

Defensive zone McCarron 76.7%

Neutral zone McCarron 53.3%

Result Jeff Carter favored at 52.3%

52.3%

47.7%

Carter McCarron

Head-to-Head Record

5 - 7 (12 meetings)

Carter McCarron

Last 10: Carter 5-5 McCarron

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Carter

Carter McCarron

5 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: McCarron

Carter McCarron

3 total

Neutral Zone

Even

Carter McCarron

4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Carter

McCarron

Edge

Even Strength

53.3% (8,728)

53.3% (2,926)

+0.0%

Power Play

57.3% (1,554)

45.3% (86)

+12.0%

Penalty Kill

46.3% (1,087)

50.1% (469)

-3.8%

On power play, Carter has a +12.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

McCarron shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).

Carter shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).

Home / Away

Carter

McCarron

Home

54.7% (5,752)

52.3% (1,696)

Away

51.6% (5,632)

53.1% (1,785)

By Period

Carter

McCarron

53.6%

53.8%

52.8%

52.3%

53.1%

51.9%

56.5%

33.3%

Final 5 min

53.2%

50.4%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Carter

62.0%▬

61.5%

53.2%

McCarron

38.0%▼

49.0%

52.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Apr 15, 2024	2	07:24	Neutral	Michael McCarron
Nov 28, 2023	2	02:18	Neutral	Jeff Carter
Mar 30, 2023	3	13:51	Offensive	Michael McCarron
Mar 30, 2023	3	02:28	Offensive	Jeff Carter
Mar 30, 2023	3	02:21	Offensive	Jeff Carter
Mar 15, 2022	3	18:58	Offensive	Jeff Carter
Mar 15, 2022	3	11:54	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Mar 15, 2022	2	17:03	Neutral	Jeff Carter
Mar 15, 2022	2	13:06	Offensive	Michael McCarron
Mar 15, 2022	1	07:13	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Mar 3, 2016	2	12:21	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Mar 3, 2016	1	14:39	Neutral	Michael McCarron

Carter's Profile | McCarron's Profile