Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 66 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Backlund 49.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 85-73 in 158 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 74.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 52.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 58.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Carter
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
85
-
73
(158 meetings)
85
73
Carter
Backlund
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
36
30
Carter
Backlund
66 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
27
21
Carter
Backlund
48 total
Neutral Zone
Even
22
22
Carter
Backlund
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
49.7% (13,463)
+3.6%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
51.5% (1,338)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
43.9% (2,465)
+2.4%
On power play, Carter has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Home / Away
Carter
Backlund
Home
54.7% (5,752)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Carter
Backlund
P1
53.6%
48.5%
P2
52.8%
50.3%
P3
53.1%
48.4%
OT
56.5%
45.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |