Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 49.5%). Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 48.8% vs Richards 49.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 65.6%
Defensive zone
Richards 68.9%
Neutral zone
Richards 52.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Carter
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Richards
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Richards
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Richards
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (977)
49.7% (352)
-1.2%
Power Play
57.8% (128)
42.9% (7)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (123)
49.1% (116)
-8.4%
On power play, Carter has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Carter shoots right. Richards is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Carter
Richards
Home
50.8% (597)
49.4% (247)
Away
46.8% (631)
49.6% (228)
By Period
Carter
Richards
P1
48.8%
53.8%
P2
48.0%
47.7%
P3
49.4%
47.3%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 03:18 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |