Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Richards 50.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 50.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 50.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 52.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Carter
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Carter
Richards
Last 8: Carter 4-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Richards
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Carter
Richards
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
50.0% (3,722)
+3.3%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
54.6% (445)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
51.4% (502)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Home / Away
Carter
Richards
Home
54.7% (5,752)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Carter
Richards
P1
53.6%
49.6%
P2
52.8%
52.3%
P3
53.1%
49.3%
OT
56.5%
58.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 03:18 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Mike Richards |