Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.7%). Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Hischier 52.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 36-24 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 53.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 50.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 50.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Carter
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
36
(60 meetings)
24
36
Carter
Hischier
Last 10: Carter 2-8 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
6
16
Carter
Hischier
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
17
10
Carter
Hischier
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
10
Carter
Hischier
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.6% (8,444)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
59.9% (1,749)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
49.3% (918)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,009).
Home / Away
Carter
Hischier
Home
54.7% (5,752)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
Carter
Hischier
P1
53.6%
52.9%
P2
52.8%
52.6%
P3
53.1%
52.7%
OT
56.5%
50.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |