Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Lindholm 48.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 89.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 66.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Carter
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Carter
Lindholm
Last 8: Carter 5-3 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Lindholm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
Lindholm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
49.6% (510)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
50.0% (12)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
45.5% (178)
+0.8%
On power play, Carter has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Lindholm is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Carter
Lindholm
Home
54.7% (5,752)
49.4% (346)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
47.7% (354)
By Period
Carter
Lindholm
P1
53.6%
42.2%
P2
52.8%
51.0%
P3
53.1%
51.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |