Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Holmberg 46.0% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 82.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 79.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 82.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Carter
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Carter
Holmberg
Last 8: Carter 5-3 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
2
Carter
Holmberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Holmberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Holmberg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
45.3% (676)
+8.0%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
50.0% (22)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
45.9% (61)
+0.4%
On even strength, Carter has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Holmberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Carter
Holmberg
Home
54.7% (5,752)
46.2% (422)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
44.5% (337)
By Period
Carter
Holmberg
P1
53.6%
53.1%
P2
52.8%
40.9%
P3
53.1%
42.3%
OT
56.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |