Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Hartman 45.0% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 57.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 55.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 57.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Carter
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Carter
Hartman
Last 9: Carter 4-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
3
Carter
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Carter
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
44.8% (4,023)
+8.5%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
47.1% (412)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
42.5% (261)
+3.8%
On power play, Carter has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,276).
Home / Away
Carter
Hartman
Home
54.7% (5,752)
46.3% (2,446)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
43.4% (2,250)
By Period
Carter
Hartman
P1
53.6%
45.2%
P2
52.8%
43.2%
P3
53.1%
46.2%
OT
56.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 6, 2021 | OT | 04:37 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 6, 2021 | OT | 02:11 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |