Jeff Carter vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 83.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 94.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 92.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 93.6%
93.6%
6.4%
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
45.4% (527)
+14.3%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
41.2% (17)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
44.9% (138)
+8.3%
On power play, Carter has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.7% (455)
46.1% (336)
Away
60.0% (483)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Carter
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
61.3%
49.1%
P2
57.1%
45.3%
P3
59.8%
42.0%
OT
57.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |