Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.3%). Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Carrick 52.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 77.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 70.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Carter
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Carter
Carrick
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
1
Carter
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
5
Carter
Carrick
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
52.2% (2,544)
+1.1%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
61.3% (75)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
50.8% (435)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Carrick is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Carter
Carrick
Home
54.7% (5,752)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Carter
Carrick
P1
53.6%
51.8%
P2
52.8%
52.3%
P3
53.1%
52.6%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |