Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 56 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Monahan 51.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 77-51 in 128 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 61.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 86.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 72.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Carter
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
77
-
51
(128 meetings)
77
51
Carter
Monahan
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
23
22
Carter
Monahan
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
41
15
Carter
Monahan
56 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
13
14
Carter
Monahan
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.1% (11,407)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
53.6% (2,582)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
45.9% (772)
+0.4%
On power play, Carter has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Carter
Monahan
Home
54.7% (5,752)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Carter
Monahan
P1
53.6%
51.0%
P2
52.8%
51.7%
P3
53.1%
51.0%
OT
56.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 13, 2023 | OT | 01:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |