Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Ott 55.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 61.5%
Defensive zone
Ott 68.9%
Neutral zone
Ott 54.3%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Carter
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Carter
Ott
Last 10: Carter 3-7 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
2
Carter
Ott
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
4
11
Carter
Ott
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
57.2% (2,802)
-3.9%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
55.4% (567)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
49.9% (853)
-3.6%
On even strength, Ott has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Carter
Ott
Home
54.7% (5,752)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Carter
Ott
P1
53.6%
56.7%
P2
52.8%
53.9%
P3
53.1%
55.7%
OT
56.5%
60.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |