Jeff Carter vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Girgensons 45.4% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 78.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 57.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 63.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Carter
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Carter
Girgensons
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
0
Carter
Girgensons
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
5
Carter
Girgensons
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
45.5% (2,718)
+7.8%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
49.1% (175)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
42.2% (483)
+4.1%
On power play, Carter has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Girgensons is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,298).
Home / Away
Carter
Girgensons
Home
54.7% (5,752)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Carter
Girgensons
P1
53.6%
45.8%
P2
52.8%
44.1%
P3
53.1%
45.7%
OT
56.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |