Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.0% vs Tavares 57.7% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 76.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 81.4%
Neutral zone
Skinner 50.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
Skinner
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Skinner
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Skinner
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (222)
57.5% (914)
-10.7%
Power Play
48.7% (78)
60.5% (309)
-11.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Skinner is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Skinner shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Skinner
Tavares
Home
53.8% (169)
61.0% (661)
Away
38.9% (131)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Skinner
Tavares
P1
48.1%
58.6%
P2
47.1%
57.8%
P3
46.9%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |