Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Skinner wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 94.8%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 71.4%
Neutral zone
Skinner 68.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Skinner
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Skinner
Suzuki
Last 7: Skinner 2-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
5
Skinner
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
49.4% (6,368)
-7.1%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
50.8% (1,355)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
44.0% (466)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Skinner is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Skinner shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Skinner
Suzuki
Home
48.2% (949)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
39.9% (791)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Skinner
Suzuki
P1
41.6%
48.9%
P2
46.0%
49.1%
P3
46.4%
50.3%
OT
23.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |