Scouting Report
Jeff Skinner holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Lewis 43.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 91.6%
Defensive zone
Lewis 86.7%
Neutral zone
Lewis 55.1%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Skinner
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Skinner
Lewis
Last 7: Skinner 3-4 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Skinner
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
3
Skinner
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
43.2% (2,347)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
51.9% (108)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
38.6% (365)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Lewis has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Skinner is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Skinner shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Skinner
Lewis
Home
48.2% (949)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
39.9% (791)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Skinner
Lewis
P1
41.6%
42.8%
P2
46.0%
43.9%
P3
46.4%
41.9%
OT
23.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |