Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jesper Boqvist
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +30.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Boqvist shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.9% vs Boqvist 39.0% (+30.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 81.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 98.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 95.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 93.6%
93.6%
6.4%
Pageau
Boqvist
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pageau
Boqvist
Last 6: Pageau 5-1 Boqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
0
1
Pageau
Boqvist
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Boqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Boqvist
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Boqvist
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (715)
30.7% (101)
+28.6%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
20.0% (5)
+48.3%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
0.0% (4)
+59.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +59.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boqvist shoots left. Pageau is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Pageau shoots right. Boqvist is 26.7% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Pageau
Boqvist
Home
58.1% (418)
30.0% (60)
Away
61.0% (559)
28.0% (50)
By Period
Pageau
Boqvist
P1
55.3%
35.9%
P2
61.5%
27.5%
P3
61.6%
22.6%
Final 5 min
63.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
59.8%
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
29.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |