Jesper Boqvist vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boqvist wins 33.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.4% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-20.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 83.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 68.6%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 67.0%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Boqvist
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Boqvist
Kastelic
Last 8: Boqvist 3-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
2
Boqvist
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
3
Boqvist
Kastelic
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (1,095)
57.0% (1,635)
-20.7%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
80.0% (25)
-37.9%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
53.8% (279)
-23.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Boqvist is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Boqvist shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Kastelic
Home
36.9% (542)
58.7% (904)
Away
35.8% (617)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Boqvist
Kastelic
P1
37.4%
58.6%
P2
35.9%
56.5%
P3
35.9%
55.6%
OT
25.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
36.7%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.3%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |