Jesper Boqvist vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +19.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boqvist wins 34.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.9% vs Kastelic 56.4% (-19.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 84.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 67.3%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 68.9%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Boqvist
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Boqvist
Kastelic
Last 8: Boqvist 3-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
2
Boqvist
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
3
Boqvist
Kastelic
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (1,060)
56.8% (1,554)
-20.0%
Power Play
40.5% (37)
80.0% (25)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
53.6% (248)
-22.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Boqvist is 34.0% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Boqvist shoots left. Kastelic is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,344).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Kastelic
Home
37.0% (538)
59.0% (870)
Away
36.6% (585)
54.6% (957)
By Period
Boqvist
Kastelic
P1
38.2%
58.7%
P2
36.2%
57.0%
P3
36.1%
54.6%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.0%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
30.0%▼
39.5%
36.8%
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |