Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 26.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 39.0% vs Barzal 41.9% (-11.2%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 53.0%
Defensive zone
Barzal 60.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 52.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Boqvist
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
30.7% (101)
40.9% (469)
-10.2%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
34.2% (38)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
28.6% (7)
-28.6%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Boqvist is 26.7% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Boqvist shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Barzal
Home
30.0% (60)
39.2% (250)
Away
28.0% (50)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Boqvist
Barzal
P1
35.9%
46.3%
P2
27.5%
36.7%
P3
22.6%
38.5%
Final 5 min
33.3%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
29.1%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%