Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boqvist wins 33.3% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.4% vs Acciari 51.2% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 64.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 84.2%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 53.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Boqvist
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Boqvist
Acciari
Last 7: Boqvist 3-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
0
Boqvist
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Boqvist
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Boqvist
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (1,095)
52.8% (3,304)
-16.5%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
48.3% (87)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
47.0% (1,073)
-16.2%
On even strength, Acciari has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Boqvist is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Boqvist shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Acciari
Home
36.9% (542)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
35.8% (617)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Boqvist
Acciari
P1
37.4%
52.3%
P2
35.9%
51.5%
P3
35.9%
50.2%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.3%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:31 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |