Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boqvist wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.4% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 91.3%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 58.6%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 83.3%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Boqvist
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Boqvist
Kuraly
Last 8: Boqvist 2-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boqvist
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Boqvist
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boqvist
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (1,095)
51.6% (5,161)
-15.3%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
56.4% (101)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
44.4% (1,091)
-13.6%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Boqvist is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Boqvist shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Kuraly
Home
36.9% (542)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
35.8% (617)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Boqvist
Kuraly
P1
37.4%
51.2%
P2
35.9%
50.0%
P3
35.9%
50.2%
OT
25.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
36.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.3%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| May 4, 2021 | OT | 01:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |