Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Boqvist wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Boqvist 74.3%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 57.1%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 79.1%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Boqvist
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Boqvist
Nosek
Last 10: Boqvist 2-8 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boqvist
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
6
Boqvist
Nosek
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (1,095)
54.9% (2,710)
-18.6%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
45.8% (48)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
47.2% (428)
-16.4%
On even strength, Nosek has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Boqvist is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Boqvist shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Nosek
Home
36.9% (542)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
35.8% (617)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Boqvist
Nosek
P1
37.4%
52.2%
P2
35.9%
54.1%
P3
35.9%
54.7%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
36.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.3%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 04:34 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |