Brady Tkachuk vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.2%). Look for Tkachuk on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 84.7%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 78.5%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 52.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
Last 8: Tkachuk 4-4 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
2
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
49.0% (3,852)
-0.1%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
51.3% (351)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
45.7% (35)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Tkachuk shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
Home
50.7% (1,435)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Tkachuk
Kotkaniemi
P1
49.4%
49.9%
P2
51.3%
50.4%
P3
49.1%
47.2%
OT
55.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 08:15 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |