Frederick Gaudreau vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Kotkaniemi 51.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 52.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 80.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 65.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Last 8: Gaudreau 2-6 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
3
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
52.8% (670)
-3.6%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
37.5% (32)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
14.3% (7)
+31.7%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Home
47.1% (546)
52.5% (366)
Away
49.4% (551)
51.0% (343)
By Period
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
P1
46.8%
53.8%
P2
46.8%
49.2%
P3
51.1%
52.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:30 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |