Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs John Tavares
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.2% vs Tavares 54.7% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 58.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 68.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
6
5
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
6
5
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (467)
54.5% (692)
-8.2%
Power Play
55.7% (79)
59.1% (149)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
54.5% (11)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Tavares is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Home
51.0% (243)
57.9% (404)
Away
45.4% (306)
52.9% (448)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
P1
48.8%
54.2%
P2
51.2%
55.1%
P3
42.2%
56.4%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.9%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:51 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |