Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs John Tavares
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.7% vs Tavares 57.8% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 1-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (195)
59.0% (691)
-11.3%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
57.2% (173)
+42.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
63.6% (11)
-30.3%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Tavares is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Home
46.8% (126)
58.0% (500)
Away
50.0% (74)
59.7% (375)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
P1
50.0%
59.5%
P2
47.9%
58.5%
P3
45.6%
58.2%
Final 5 min
47.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |