Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Kevin Stenlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 87.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 75.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 56.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
56.2% (650)
-8.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.2% (47)
+46.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
51.6% (312)
-18.3%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
Home
46.5% (129)
56.9% (483)
Away
50.0% (84)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Stenlund
P1
51.3%
54.2%
P2
46.1%
53.2%
P3
45.9%
56.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |