Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Eller 55.0% (-8.0%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 75.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 72.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Kotkaniemi
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
56.0% (459)
-8.7%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
77.8% (9)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
51.9% (54)
-18.6%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Home
46.5% (129)
52.6% (215)
Away
50.0% (84)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Eller
P1
51.3%
54.1%
P2
46.1%
57.6%
P3
45.9%
56.2%
Final 5 min
48.2%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%