Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mark Kastelic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-11.8%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 85.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 80.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 54.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
60.8% (362)
-13.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
83.3% (6)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
56.2% (146)
-22.9%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Home
46.5% (129)
60.3% (242)
Away
50.0% (84)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
P1
51.3%
58.9%
P2
46.1%
57.3%
P3
45.9%
64.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%