Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mason McTavish

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.9%). Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs McTavish 48.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Kotkaniemi 72.7%
Defensive zone Kotkaniemi 52.2%
Neutral zone Kotkaniemi 52.4%
Result Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Kotkaniemi McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 1 (8 meetings)
7
1
Kotkaniemi McTavish
Last 8: Kotkaniemi 7-1 McTavish

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
1
Kotkaniemi McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
0
Kotkaniemi McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi McTavish
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (3,840)
48.4% (2,704)
+0.7%
Power Play
51.1% (350)
52.7% (421)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
34.3% (35)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +11.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,090).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
Home
49.7% (2,194)
50.2% (1,592)
Away
48.6% (2,031)
47.5% (1,568)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
P1
49.8%
50.3%
P2
50.5%
48.1%
P3
47.2%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%
48.0%
49.2%
McTavish
48.0%
51.5%
48.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 23, 2025 2 13:21 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Mar 23, 2025 2 10:34 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Jan 12, 2025 3 15:55 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Jan 12, 2025 3 11:19 Defensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Jan 12, 2025 3 11:12 Defensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Jan 12, 2025 2 01:13 Offensive Mason McTavish
Jan 11, 2024 1 15:39 Defensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Dec 6, 2022 2 10:34 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi