Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mason McTavish
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.9%). Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs McTavish 48.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 72.7%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 52.2%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 52.4%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
Last 8: Kotkaniemi 7-1 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
1
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
0
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (3,840)
48.4% (2,704)
+0.7%
Power Play
51.1% (350)
52.7% (421)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
34.3% (35)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,090).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
Home
49.7% (2,194)
50.2% (1,592)
Away
48.6% (2,031)
47.5% (1,568)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
McTavish
P1
49.8%
50.3%
P2
50.5%
48.1%
P3
47.2%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
McTavish
48.0%▼
51.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |