Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Morgan Frost
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Frost 56.4% (-9.2%)
Offensive zone
Frost 54.0%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 57.9%
Neutral zone
Frost 54.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Kotkaniemi
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
56.0% (755)
-8.7%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
60.1% (173)
+39.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
88.9% (9)
-55.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Home
46.5% (129)
57.3% (497)
Away
50.0% (84)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Frost
P1
51.3%
60.2%
P2
46.1%
56.0%
P3
45.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
48.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%