Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Patrice Bergeron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 88.8%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 83.2%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 89.4%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Kotkaniemi
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kotkaniemi
Bergeron
Last 5: Kotkaniemi 1-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Kotkaniemi
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (3,840)
60.1% (13,938)
-11.0%
Power Play
51.1% (350)
60.8% (3,213)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
53.0% (2,776)
-7.3%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,451).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Bergeron
Home
49.7% (2,194)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
48.6% (2,031)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Bergeron
P1
49.8%
59.3%
P2
50.5%
60.0%
P3
47.2%
58.6%
OT
50.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |