Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 71.7%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 69.7%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 58.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
40.5% (190)
+6.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
42.9% (14)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
30.0% (10)
+3.3%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Buchnevich is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
Home
46.5% (129)
40.7% (118)
Away
50.0% (84)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Buchnevich
P1
51.3%
42.3%
P2
46.1%
37.5%
P3
45.9%
40.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |