Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 59.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Kotkaniemi
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
55.7% (856)
-8.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
57.5% (233)
+42.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (144)
-16.7%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
O'Reilly
Home
46.5% (129)
55.5% (616)
Away
50.0% (84)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
O'Reilly
P1
51.3%
58.1%
P2
46.1%
54.9%
P3
45.9%
53.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%