Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Sean Kuraly
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 50.9% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 78.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 80.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 53.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
Last 6: Kotkaniemi 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (309)
52.3% (982)
-2.5%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
41.9% (43)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
39.2% (245)
+10.8%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
Home
51.7% (203)
50.3% (680)
Away
50.4% (141)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
P1
49.5%
49.5%
P2
50.4%
49.6%
P3
53.8%
49.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |