Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Sebastian Aho
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Aho 50.5% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 50.0%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 57.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 56.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Kotkaniemi
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
50.5% (878)
-3.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.5% (144)
+46.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.3% (61)
-11.0%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Aho
Home
46.5% (129)
53.8% (571)
Away
50.0% (84)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Aho
P1
51.3%
49.0%
P2
46.1%
51.7%
P3
45.9%
50.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%