Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 65.5%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 64.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 57.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
57.1% (368)
-9.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
55.2% (96)
+44.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (10)
-16.7%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
Home
46.5% (129)
53.9% (230)
Away
50.0% (84)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Stamkos
P1
51.3%
56.7%
P2
46.1%
54.1%
P3
45.9%
59.2%
Final 5 min
48.2%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |