Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Tomas Hertl
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Hertl 57.5% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 56.8%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 62.7%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 53.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
58.7% (858)
-11.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
55.8% (285)
+44.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
62.9% (35)
-29.6%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Home
46.5% (129)
60.1% (599)
Away
50.0% (84)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
P1
51.3%
52.4%
P2
46.1%
63.9%
P3
45.9%
58.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |