Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Jost 44.8% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 53.5%
Defensive zone
Jost 62.7%
Neutral zone
Jost 61.4%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Kotkaniemi
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
39.5% (86)
+7.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
42.9% (7)
-9.6%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Jost is 34.4% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Jost
Home
46.5% (129)
38.9% (54)
Away
50.0% (84)
40.0% (40)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Jost
P1
51.3%
42.4%
P2
46.1%
37.8%
P3
45.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |