Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Zack Ostapchuk
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 79.3%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 58.8%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 52.3%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
Last 6: Kotkaniemi 2-4 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
52.2% (312)
-4.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
43.9% (57)
-10.6%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Ostapchuk is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
Home
46.5% (129)
49.1% (161)
Away
50.0% (84)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
P1
51.3%
50.8%
P2
46.1%
47.1%
P3
45.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Ostapchuk
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |