Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Zack Ostapchuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.5%). Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 70.5%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 70.8%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 51.2%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
Last 8: Kotkaniemi 4-4 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
2
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
49.1% (632)
-0.1%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
28.6% (7)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
45.5% (66)
+0.2%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
Home
49.7% (2,197)
48.6% (329)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Ostapchuk
P1
49.9%
48.5%
P2
50.4%
46.4%
P3
47.2%
50.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |