Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Brien wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 47.6% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 74.2%
Defensive zone
O'Brien 71.0%
Neutral zone
O'Brien 63.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
O'Brien
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
O'Brien
Stamkos
Last 10: O'Brien 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
O'Brien
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Brien
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Brien
2
1
O'Brien
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (451)
50.5% (9,825)
-1.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
55.2% (1,729)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (141)
49.6% (827)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. O'Brien is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
O'Brien shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Stamkos
Home
47.1% (274)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
47.3% (330)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
O'Brien
Stamkos
P1
47.2%
49.2%
P2
49.8%
52.7%
P3
43.6%
50.9%
OT
75.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
42.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.2%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |